
Imagine a company with no employees, no sales, yet it’s constantly fighting to stay afloat. Its daily struggles are live-streamed, giving us a rare glimpse into the raw realities of building in public — in its most extreme form. Welcome to the world of Firmulate, where AI models run a synthetic business on the brink of collapse, and every decision is a live, auditable event.
The Live Experiment: AI Running a Business in Real Time
At the core of this experiment is Firmulate, a public platform showcasing an ongoing battle for survival. The company operates with 13 synthetic employees and faces immediate financial challenges, burning €105,000 per month against a modest monthly recurring revenue (MRR) of €2,300. Its cash countdown is public, and every weekday, its operations are versioned and transparent, offering a real-time window into what it takes to manage a business in crisis.
The AI Models: Different Approaches, Same Challenges
Four frontier AI models—gpt-5.6-sol, Kimi K3, Sonnet 5, and Fable 5—each took the same set of worst-week scenarios and decision points. The goal? See if these models can navigate crises, maintain integrity, and close deals. The results were revealing: all four identified every crisis and refused every manipulation attempt, demonstrating a high level of integrity. Only two managed to close a €55,000 deal, which their own analysis had earned, yet only one of those signed the deal. The other model spotted the critical hidden fact in the company’s own files, which was key to winning full-price deals—an insight that remained invisible in typical AI chat demos.
Lessons in Honesty and Discipline
Social engineering tests, including fake CEO messages and reporter tricks, were universally refused by all models. Kimi K3, noted for its fairness, explained: “Treat the request as a suspected approval-bypass / possible impersonation.” Despite thorough decision-making, some models like Opus 4.8, the most detailed participant, left opportunities unexploited due to process slips, illustrating that even sophisticated AI can falter under pressure.

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Why Does This Matter to You?
In a world increasingly driven by AI, understanding how these models behave in high-stakes, real-world scenarios is crucial. The experiment underscores that the ability to finish tasks, read critical documents, and stay honest under pressure matters more than just generating convincing chat or content. Whether in CRM, support, or forecasting, what counts is whether AI can truly deliver on its promises—especially when it’s fighting for every dollar and reputation.

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Watching the Business Live
The experiment is ongoing and transparently accessible at firmulate.com/live.html. You can see the AI-driven company in action, watch its daily decisions, and even participate in quizzes to test your management intuition at firmulate.com/quiz.html. For businesses interested in pre-emptively modeling their own risks, a read-only export feature allows running scenarios without affecting real systems, available at firmulate.com/pilot.html.

Watch it live: firmulate.com/live · Full results: firmulate.com/benchmarks.html

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